Forecasters monitoring tropical wave near Eastern Caribbean
Key Points(5)
- Forecasters are closely monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic Basin, according to the latest update from the U.S.
- National Hurricane Center (NHC).
- report, the NHC highlighted a tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
- Shower activity associated with this disturbance has shown little change in organization since yesterday.
- While some slow development is possible, the system is expected to reach the Lesser Antilles by Monday.
Forecasters are closely monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic Basin, according to the latest update from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC).
In its 8 a.m. report, the NHC highlighted a tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Shower activity associated with this disturbance has shown little change in organization since yesterday.
While some slow development is possible, the system is expected to reach the Lesser Antilles by Monday. The wave is forecast to move across the central and western Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions may become more favorable for development, potentially leading to the formation of a tropical depression.
Regardless of whether the system develops further, it could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to parts of the Lesser Antilles on Monday. The NHC has given this disturbance a low (10 percent) chance of formation over the next 48 hours and a medium (40 percent) chance over the next seven days.
In the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, another tropical wave currently over western Africa is expected to move offshore on Monday. Environmental conditions could support slow development throughout the week as the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. The NHC has assessed this disturbance with a low (near 0 percent) chance of formation over the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance over the next seven days.
Meanwhile, in the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico, a broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to produce showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore of the Texas and Louisiana coasts. This system is expected to linger near the coast for the next few days, with some slow development possible if it remains offshore.
Regardless of further development, heavy rains from this disturbance could lead to flash flooding across parts of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast in the coming days. The NHC has assigned this system a low (10 percent) chance of formation over the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance over the next seven days.
