As of 7:00 a.m., Tropical Storm Rafael is continuing its northwestward movement, now located about 130 kilometers (80 miles) south-southwest of Montego Bay and 180 kilometers (110 miles) south of Negril Point, Jamaica. While the center of the storm is moving away from the western coast of Jamaica, a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the island.
The storm is moving at a speed of approximately 20 km/h (13 mph), and this general northwestward motion is expected to continue over the coming days. According to the forecast, Rafael will move away from Jamaica later this morning, be near the Cayman Islands by tonight, and reach near or over western Cuba on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 95 km/h (60 mph) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid intensification is forecast over the next 24 to 36 hours, making Rafael a hurricane near the Cayman Islands, with further strengthening before it makes landfall in Cuba. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 165 kilometres (105 miles) from the centre.
As Tropical Storm Rafael moves away from Jamaica, heavy rainfall continues to affect the island, particularly in southern parishes. Rainfall amounts of over 75 millimeters (3 inches) have already been recorded, leading to localized flooding. Based on the current forecast, these rainfall totals are expected to increase throughout the morning.
Expect widespread rainfall amounts of 75-150 mm (3-6 inches) across the island today. This will likely cause flash flooding in flood-prone areas, particularly in urban centers and low-lying regions.
In mountainous areas, rainfall totals could be higher, increasing the risk of landslides in vulnerable sections of the island.
Strong, gusty winds, primarily associated with thunderstorms and squalls, will continue, although the storm is moving away. These gusts could cause additional hazards, especially in areas near the storm’s path.
Small craft operators are urged to stay in safe harbor until all warnings are lifted and sea conditions return to normal. This is essential for avoiding risks posed by rough seas and strong winds.
Residents in flood-prone areas should remain cautious and avoid driving through flooded roads, while those in higher elevations should be alert for possible landslides. Jamaicans are urged to stay updated with local authorities and weather advisories as conditions can change rapidly.
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