Jamaicans can expect hotter days and warmer nights in the coming months, as temperatures across the island are forecast to remain above normal through November. The Meteorological Service of Jamaica, in its latest seasonal climate outlook, is advising residents to prepare for sustained heat, particularly in the central and north-western regions.
The climate outlook, which covers the periods of June to August and September to November 2025, projects higher-than-usual temperatures across most of the island. For June through August, the north-western parishes are expected to see the strongest warming trend, with a 60 to 69 percent probability of both daytime and nighttime temperatures exceeding the norm. In central areas like Worthy Park, St Catherine, there is a 41 to 44 percent chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures.
That warming trend is expected to intensify as the year progresses. By September to November, the north-west could face an even greater likelihood—between 70 and 79 percent—of hotter-than-usual conditions. Central regions will again see a 41 to 44 percent chance of elevated temperatures.
In response, the Met Service is urging the public to adopt cooling strategies, particularly in the western and central areas where heat-related stress could become more severe.
The forecast also highlights concerns about rainfall levels. A short-term dry spell is anticipated between June and August in parts of St James, Trelawny, southern Westmoreland, and sections of St Thomas. The outlook further warns that a drought warning or watch may be issued for Westmoreland, with the potential for dry conditions to stretch into southern Hanover later in the year.
Despite these localized concerns, the remainder of the island is not expected to experience widespread drought conditions at this time.
