World Bank Says COVID-19 Threatens Human Capital Gains of the Past Decade

A new report by the World Bank is warning that the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is threatening the hard-won gains in health and education over the past decade, especially in the poorest countries.

The reports finds that investments in human capital, the knowledge, skills, and health that people accumulate over their lives, are key to unlocking a child’s potential and to improving economic growth in every country.

The World Bank Group’s 2020 Human Capital Index includes health and education data for 174 countries, including the Caribbean, covering 98 per cent of the world’s population, up to March 2020, providing a pre-pandemic baseline on the health and education of children.

The analysis shows that pre-pandemic, most countries had made steady progress in building the human capital of children, with the biggest strides made in low-income countries. Despite this progress, and even before the effects of the pandemic, a child born in a typical country could expect to achieve just 56 per cent of their potential human capital, relative to a benchmark of complete education and full health.

“The pandemic puts at risk the decade’s progress in building human capital, including the improvements in health, survival rates, school enrollment, and reduced stunting,” said the World Bank Group President, David Malpass.

He said the economic impact of the pandemic has been particularly deep for women and for the most disadvantaged families, leaving many vulnerable to food insecurity and poverty.

“Protecting and investing in people is vital as countries work to lay the foundation for sustainable, inclusive recoveries and future growth,” he added.

The report notes that due to the pandemic’s impact, most children – more than one billion – have been out of school and could lose out, on average, half a year of schooling, adjusted for learning, translating into considerable monetary losses. Data also shows significant disruptions to essential health services for women and children, with many children missing out on crucial vaccinations.

The 2020 Human Capital Index also presents a decade-long view of the evolution of human capital outcomes from 2010 through 2020, finding improvements across all regions, where data are available, and across all income levels.

These were largely due to improvements in health, reflected in better child and adult survival rates and reduced stunting, as well as an increase in school enrollment. This progress is now at risk due to the global pandemic.

The analysis finds that human capital outcomes for girls are on average higher than for boys. However, this has not translated into comparable opportunities to use human capital in the labour market: on average, employment rates are 20 percentage points lower for women than for men, with a wider gap in many countries and regions.

Moreover, the pandemic is exacerbating risks of gender-based violence, child marriage and adolescent pregnancy, all of which further reduce opportunities for learning and empowerment for women and girls.

“Today, hard-won human capital gains in many countries are at risk. But countries can do more than just work to recover the lost progress. To protect and extend earlier human capital gains, countries need to expand health service coverage and quality among marginalized communities, boost learning outcomes together with school enrollments, and support vulnerable families with social protection measures adapted to the scale of the COVID-19 crisis,” the World Bank noted.

It said it is working closely with governments to develop long-term solutions to protect and invest in people during and after the pandemic:

In Ethiopia, Haiti and Mongolia, the Bank said it has been supporting the acquisition of vital medical equipment, while in Bangladesh, Burkina Faso, and Nepal, it is supporting the development of school safety and hygiene protocols while working with water supply, sanitation, and hygiene teams to provide basic sanitization and hygiene supplies.



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